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O impacto dos determinantes socioeconómicos na taxa de ferilidade em Portugal e as suas implicações políticas
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Abstract(s)
A tendência decrescente da fertilidade em Portugal nas últimas décadas apresenta consequências a nível social, demográfico e económico. O envelhecimento da população, as alterações no plano económico e a capacidade de produção e inovação, são potenciais consequências desse declínio. Esta dissertação tem como objetivo analisar os determinantes socioeconómicos que impactam o número de filhos das famílias em Portugal. Para alcançar os resultados propostos, foi desenvolvido um modelo econométrico composto por variáveis das diversas áreas mencionadas, utilizando como base os dados recolhidos no Inquérito à Fecundidade, desenvolvido pelo INE em 2019. Os resultados deste estudo revelam que fatores como a idade, o nível de escolaridade e a estabilidade no emprego influenciam significativamente o número de filhos. Também a inclusão de regiões na estimação do modelo permitiu retirar conclusões relativamente à sua distribuição geográfica. Esta investigação propõe contribuir para o entendimento da Fertilidade em Portugal, associando-se à literatura nacional e internacional dedicada à compreensão deste tema, tendo como objetivo final a
The downward trend in fertility in Portugal over recent decades presents social, demographic, and economic consequences. The aging of the population, changes in the economic landscape, and the capacity for production and innovation are potential consequences of this decline. This dissertation aims to analyse the socioeconomic determinants that impact the number of children in Portuguese families. To achieve the proposed results, an econometric model was developed, comprising variables from the various aforementioned areas, based on data collected in the Fertility Survey conducted by the Portuguese National Statistics Institute (INE) in 2019. The results of this study reveal that factors such as age, education level, and employment stability significantly influence the number of children. The inclusion of regional effects in the model estimation also allowed for conclusions to be drawn regarding the geographical distribution of fertility across Portugal. This research purpose is to contribute to the understanding of fertility in Portugal, aligning with both national and international literature dedicated to this topic, with the ultimate goal of suggesting policy measures to mitigate its consequences.
The downward trend in fertility in Portugal over recent decades presents social, demographic, and economic consequences. The aging of the population, changes in the economic landscape, and the capacity for production and innovation are potential consequences of this decline. This dissertation aims to analyse the socioeconomic determinants that impact the number of children in Portuguese families. To achieve the proposed results, an econometric model was developed, comprising variables from the various aforementioned areas, based on data collected in the Fertility Survey conducted by the Portuguese National Statistics Institute (INE) in 2019. The results of this study reveal that factors such as age, education level, and employment stability significantly influence the number of children. The inclusion of regional effects in the model estimation also allowed for conclusions to be drawn regarding the geographical distribution of fertility across Portugal. This research purpose is to contribute to the understanding of fertility in Portugal, aligning with both national and international literature dedicated to this topic, with the ultimate goal of suggesting policy measures to mitigate its consequences.
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Keywords
Número de filhos Determinantes socioeconómicos Fertilidade Famílias Portugal Number of children Socioeconomic determinants Fertility Families
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