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Esta dissertação pretende estimar o impacto económico da crise pandémica de COVID-19 em Portugal para o ano de 2020. Para apurar as consequências causadas pelo impacto desta doença e pelas intervenções não farmacêuticas aplicadas, analisa-se o impacto económico i) por setor de atividade económica; ii) desagregado a três indicadores macroeconómicos – Produção, Valor Acrescentado Bruto (VAB) e Emprego. Como estratégia metodológica recorreu-se à aplicação do Modelo Input- Output, que de uma forma matricial, permite segmentar uma determinada economia por setores de atividade e analisar as interdependências existentes entre os mesmos. Através deste modelo analítico, foi possível, de um modo geral, identificar uma redução substancial na produção, no VAB e na empregabilidade, com especial destaque para os serviços de alojamento e restauração e para atividades de retalho.
This study aims to estimate the economic impact caused by the COVID-19 pandemic crisis in Portugal for the year 2020. To determine the consequences of the impact of this disease and of the non-pharmaceutical measures that were put in place, the economic impact is analysed: i) by economic sector; ii) disaggregated in three macroeconomic indicators – Production, Gross Value Added (GVA) and Employment. As the methodology, the Input-Output Model was applied, which in a matrix allows to split the economy in the various economic sectors and analyse the existing interdependencies between them. Through this model, it was possible to identify a substantial reduction in production, in GVA and in employment, with special emphasis in restaurant and accommodation services, as well as retail activities.
This study aims to estimate the economic impact caused by the COVID-19 pandemic crisis in Portugal for the year 2020. To determine the consequences of the impact of this disease and of the non-pharmaceutical measures that were put in place, the economic impact is analysed: i) by economic sector; ii) disaggregated in three macroeconomic indicators – Production, Gross Value Added (GVA) and Employment. As the methodology, the Input-Output Model was applied, which in a matrix allows to split the economy in the various economic sectors and analyse the existing interdependencies between them. Through this model, it was possible to identify a substantial reduction in production, in GVA and in employment, with special emphasis in restaurant and accommodation services, as well as retail activities.
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Palavras-chave
COVID-19 Input-output analysis Input-output table