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The influence of critical realism on managerial prediction

dc.contributor.authorMartins, Nuno Miguel Ornelas
dc.contributor.authorMorais, Ricardo
dc.date.accessioned2018-07-17T08:26:07Z
dc.date.available2018-07-17T08:26:07Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.description.abstractIn this conceptual paper we suggest that a critical realist perspective alters managerial views on prediction and strategy formation. For that purpose, we review alternative notions of prediction in economic theory in the light of critical realism. In addition, we review the role of prediction in alternative streams of thought on strategy formation. The corollary of such a literature review is a new conceptualisation of the organisational environment as an open system which is not prone to prediction but can be a source of learning for strategists. Such critical realist view alerts researchers and practitioners for the provisional nature of scientific explanations and the dangers of premature prediction. Critical realism is thus a promising avenue for further research on strategy formation and more appropriate strategizing.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationMartins, N. O., Morais, R. (2015). The influence of critical realism on managerial prediction. Working papers: Management. N.º 2, 28 p.pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/25199
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewednopt_PT
dc.subjectcritical realismpt_PT
dc.subjectpredictionpt_PT
dc.subjecteconomic modellingpt_PT
dc.subjectstrategy formationpt_PT
dc.titleThe influence of critical realism on managerial predictionpt_PT
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
person.familyNameMorais
person.givenNameRicardo
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0462-4019
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationd0594084-ee57-45ce-b532-90e4cac20da4
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryd0594084-ee57-45ce-b532-90e4cac20da4

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