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Political uncertainty and the geographic allocation of credit: evidence from small businesses

dc.contributor.authorCerqueiro, Geraldo
dc.contributor.authorMão-de-Ferro, Ana
dc.contributor.authorPenas, María Fabiana
dc.date.accessioned2024-06-19T10:09:29Z
dc.date.available2024-06-19T10:09:29Z
dc.date.issued2025-12-01
dc.description.abstractWe investigate how banks change the geographic distribution of their small business loan portfolio when they face political uncertainty in some of the states where they operate. Using exogenous variation in gubernatorial elections with binding term limits, we show that political uncertainty causes local banks to increase out-of-state lending to small firms, particularly those located in higher-income areas. This effect follows a decrease in local lending and is stronger for banks that are more capital-constrained. The increase in out-of-state credit leads to an increase in employment growth and net firm creation in sectors with larger capital needs.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/jmcb.13159pt_PT
dc.identifier.eid85193856090
dc.identifier.issn0022-2879
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/45532
dc.identifier.wos001229377200001
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectBanking industrypt_PT
dc.subjectPolitical uncertaintypt_PT
dc.subjectSmall firmspt_PT
dc.titlePolitical uncertainty and the geographic allocation of credit: evidence from small businessespt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage2285
oaire.citation.issue8
oaire.citation.startPage2253
oaire.citation.titleJournal of Money, Credit and Bankingpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume57
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT

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