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Abstract(s)
Este relatório teve como objetivo a realização de um estudo analítico quanto ao abastecimento de cereais do mercado português. Para tal, foi analisada a dependência de Portugal face ao Exterior, com recurso à balança comercial. Foi também analisado o grau de aprovisionamento, isto é, a percentagem de consumo que advém da produção interna. Desta análise concluímos que Portugal apresenta-se profundamente dependentes das importações, não sendo autossuficiente nesta categoria de bens tão essencial para o dia-a-dia da população portuguesa. Em seguida foi realizado um estudo de caso, referente às greves portuárias de 2012, tendo este sido o choque no abastecimento mais marcante da última década. Cruzando dados referentes ao consumo e à capacidade de armazenagem de cereais, foi-nos possível contabilizar que Portugal apenas conseguiria subsistir, através dos stocks à data, durante 27 dias, não havendo cereais armazenados suficientes para fazer face a um choque semelhante ao estudado. De forma a fazer face ao problema, foi sugerida a imposição de uma medida preventiva: a criação de uma reserva física de segurança, baseada na cooperação e solidariedade entre países, que diminua significativamente os riscos associados a um eventual choque no abastecimento alimentar de cereais em Portugal, constituindo o cereal um dos principais pilares da alimentação do ser humano.
The main goal of this report was to accomplish an analytic study about the supply of cereals in the Portuguese market. To this end, we analyzed the dependence of Portugal against the exterior, using the trade balance. It was also analyzed the degree of provisioning- the percentage of consumption provided by the domestic production. We concluded that Portugal is heavily dependent on imports and not self-sufficient in this category of goods as essential for the day-to-day of the Portuguese population as cereals. Then we conducted a case study relating to port strikes of 2012, since this shock represented the most outstanding shortage of supply in the last decade. Crossing data on the consumption and grain storage capacity, we were able to account that Portugal could only survive 27 days with the stocks available at the time. We therefore concluded that we do not possess enough stored grain to meet a shock similar to the undertaken study. In order to address the problem, it was suggested the imposition of a preventive measure: the creation of a physical reserve of security based on cooperation and solidarity between UE countries, which significantly reduces the risks associated with a possible shock in food grain supply in Portugal.
The main goal of this report was to accomplish an analytic study about the supply of cereals in the Portuguese market. To this end, we analyzed the dependence of Portugal against the exterior, using the trade balance. It was also analyzed the degree of provisioning- the percentage of consumption provided by the domestic production. We concluded that Portugal is heavily dependent on imports and not self-sufficient in this category of goods as essential for the day-to-day of the Portuguese population as cereals. Then we conducted a case study relating to port strikes of 2012, since this shock represented the most outstanding shortage of supply in the last decade. Crossing data on the consumption and grain storage capacity, we were able to account that Portugal could only survive 27 days with the stocks available at the time. We therefore concluded that we do not possess enough stored grain to meet a shock similar to the undertaken study. In order to address the problem, it was suggested the imposition of a preventive measure: the creation of a physical reserve of security based on cooperation and solidarity between UE countries, which significantly reduces the risks associated with a possible shock in food grain supply in Portugal.
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Keywords
Cereais Commodities Segurança alimentar Mercado português de cereais Fundamentais de mercado Caso de estudo Autossuficiência Mecanismos de segurança alimentar Cereals Food security Portuguese cereal market Market fundamentals Case study Self-sufficiency Food security mechanisms