Utilize este identificador para referenciar este registo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/16835
Título: Cross-sectional tail risk and equity premium prediction
Autor: Onyshchenko, Pavlo
Orientador: Faias, José
Data de Defesa: 21-Out-2014
Resumo: Common predictors of U.S. equity market risk premium fail out-of-sample. We provide a new cross-sectional measure of stock market tail risk. This performs better than the historical risk premium and other commonly used predictors for short- and long-term horizons. The predictive power of cross-sectional tail risk is especially remarkable for one-month horizon forecast and during contractions. We show that under a mean-variance setting, there is an economic increase in the expected return by more than 100% in the short-term and more than 50% for longer horizons.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/16835
Aparece nas colecções:FCEE - Dissertações de Mestrado / Master Dissertations
R - Dissertações de Mestrado / Master Dissertations

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