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Abstract(s)
Os intentos de controlo do contingente perdem-se na raiz dos tempos. Destarte, no presente ensaio, partindo do pressuposto de que a arte de enumerar e classificar consubstanciou uma via por intermédio da qual se visou implementar o controlo do corpo social, num primeiro momento, procurar-se-á mostrar como, a
partir de finais da centúria de quinhentos, e com maior amplitude ao longo dos séculos seguintes, em Inglaterra (mas não só) as preocupações, tomando por base a experiência concreta, começaram
a direcionar-se para a observação e o exame de alguns fenómenos populacionais, nomeadamente as taxas de nascimentos e óbitos, as taxas de reprodução e de fecundidade e os rácios entre sexos, entre
outros. Num segundo momento, serão tomados também em consideração os discursos e as análises demográficas desenvolvidas no âmbito da Teologia Natural, com o intuito de mostrar como os
mesmos procuram justificar a negação da importância da contingência recorrendo ao background religioso do seu pensamento.
The attempts to control chance are lost in the origin of time. So, in this paper, on the assumption that the art of enumerate and classify has crystallized a way through which was aimed to implement the control of the social body, in a first moment, we seek to show how, from the end of the five hundred century, and with greater amplitude over the next centuries, in England (but not only) the concerns, on the basis of concrete experience, began to focus in the observation and the examination of some population phenomena, in particular the rates of births and deaths, the rates of reproduction and fertility and the ratios between sexes, among others. In a second moment, the speeches and the demographic analyzes developed in the framework of Natural Theology will also be taken into account in order to show how they seek to justify the denial of the importance of chance by using the religious background of his thought.
The attempts to control chance are lost in the origin of time. So, in this paper, on the assumption that the art of enumerate and classify has crystallized a way through which was aimed to implement the control of the social body, in a first moment, we seek to show how, from the end of the five hundred century, and with greater amplitude over the next centuries, in England (but not only) the concerns, on the basis of concrete experience, began to focus in the observation and the examination of some population phenomena, in particular the rates of births and deaths, the rates of reproduction and fertility and the ratios between sexes, among others. In a second moment, the speeches and the demographic analyzes developed in the framework of Natural Theology will also be taken into account in order to show how they seek to justify the denial of the importance of chance by using the religious background of his thought.
Description
Keywords
Probabilidades Aritmética política Teologia natural Determinismo Contingência Probability Political arithmetic Natural theology Determinism Chance
Citation
MENEZES, Manuel – A dimensão empírica das probabilidades: determinismo vs. Incerteza. Gestão e Desenvolvimento. Viseu. ISSN 0872-556X. Nº 21 (2013), p. 245-260.
Publisher
Universidade Católica Portuguesa, Centro Regional das Beiras, Departamento de Economia, Gestão e Ciências Sociais