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May the intentional candidate win: the effect of global performance information on intentionality attributions and managerial hot-hand predictions

dc.contributor.authorBraga, João Niza
dc.contributor.authorJacinto, Sofia
dc.date.accessioned2026-05-13T16:29:37Z
dc.date.available2026-05-13T16:29:37Z
dc.date.issued2024-04-01
dc.description.abstractIn organizational contexts, managers often have to judge and predict others' performance. Previous research has consistently shown that when predicting someone's performance, people expect that a local sequence of successful outcomes will continue—the hot-hand. The present work proposes that hot-hand predictions occur when local streaks are dispositionally attributed to the agents' intentionality and explores how the inclusion of global performance success rates may guide intentionality inferences and moderate predictions of success after a streak. Three studies, using within- and between-subjects' designs, manipulate agent's global success rate and show that after a local streak, intentionality attributions and predictions of success are lower when success rates are low (vs. high or unknown); intentionality attributions mediate the effect of success rate on predictions; hot-hand predictions are lower for low success rate agents (vs. high or unknown) as they are not perceived as more responsible for streaky than for alternated performances.eng
dc.identifier.doi10.1002/bdm.2379
dc.identifier.eid85188538677
dc.identifier.other6ba6f083-9680-4a3b-904f-a25b829b9151
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/57710
dc.identifier.wos001190413700001
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherJohn Wiley and Sons Ltd
dc.rights.uriN/A
dc.subjectHot-handeng
dc.subjectIntentionalityeng
dc.subjectManagerial decisionseng
dc.subjectPerformance predictioneng
dc.subjectSuccess rateseng
dc.titleMay the intentional candidate win: the effect of global performance information on intentionality attributions and managerial hot-hand predictions
dc.typeresearch article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.issue2
oaire.citation.volume37
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85

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