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Quit playing games with our lives: layoffs predict road traffic fatalities

2026-01-01Artigo de investigação Acesso aberto
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datacite.subject.sdg03:Saúde de Qualidade
datacite.subject.sdg11:Cidades e Comunidades Sustentáveis
dc.contributor.authorGruda, Dritjon
dc.contributor.authorGonçalves, Ricardo
dc.contributor.authorZadegan, Milad Sharafi
dc.date.accessioned2025-11-17T10:35:21Z
dc.date.available2025-11-17T10:35:21Z
dc.date.issued2026-01-01
dc.description.abstractEconomic downturns are typically associated with fewer traffic accidents due to reduced driving. However, the psychological and social shocks of sudden job loss may counterintuitively increase risk on the road. In this paper, we examine whether mass layoffs announcements are associated with short-term increases in traffic fatalities in the United States using spatial autoregressive models. Merging monthly U.S. county-level data on mass layoffs with motor vehicle fatality counts, we find a significant uptick in monthly traffic fatalities following major layoff events. This pattern persists after accounting for seasonal trends and regional factors, including unemployment rates and weather conditions. These findings suggest that the stress and disruption caused by mass layoffs can have deadly consequences beyond the workplace. We discuss psychological mechanisms (e.g., distress-related driving impairment) and implications linked to short-term rises in traffic fatalities and public health implications for fatal crash risk.eng
dc.identifier.citationGruda, D., Gonçalves, R., & Zadegan, M. S. (2026). Quit playing games with our lives: layoffs predict road traffic fatalities. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 224, Article 108302. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2025.108302
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.aap.2025.108302
dc.identifier.eid105020807291
dc.identifier.issn0001-4575
dc.identifier.other1d99b152-4690-4f69-a7ed-d3398327c809
dc.identifier.pmid41192324
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/55654
dc.identifier.wos001612605900001
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
dc.subjectAccidents
dc.subjectLayoffs
dc.subjectPsychological state
dc.subjectTraffic
dc.titleQuit playing games with our lives: layoffs predict road traffic fatalitieseng
dc.typeresearch article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.titleAccident Analysis and Prevention
oaire.citation.volume224
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85

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