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Suspicious binds: conspiracy thinking and tenuous perceptions of causal connections between co-occurring and spuriously correlated events

dc.contributor.authorWal, Reine C. van der
dc.contributor.authorSutton, Robbie M.
dc.contributor.authorLange, Jens
dc.contributor.authorBraga, João P. N.
dc.date.accessioned2021-04-15T12:52:13Z
dc.date.available2021-04-15T12:52:13Z
dc.date.issued2018-12
dc.description.abstractPrevious research indicates that conspiracy thinking is informed by the psychological imposition of order and meaning on the environment, including the perception of causal relations between random events. Four studies indicate that conspiracy belief is driven by readiness to draw implausible causal connections even when events are not random, but instead conform to an objective pattern. Study 1 (N = 195) showed that conspiracy belief was related to the causal interpretation of real-life, spurious correlations (e.g., between chocolate consumption and Nobel prizes). In Study 2 (N = 216), this effect held adjusting for correlates including magical and non-analytical thinking. Study 3 (N = 214) showed that preference for conspiracy explanations was associated with the perception that a focal event (e.g., the death of a journalist) was causally connected to similar, recent events. Study 4 (N = 211) showed that conspiracy explanations for human tragedies were favored when they comprised part of a cluster of similar events (vs. occurring in isolation); crucially, they were independently increased by a manipulation of causal perception. We discuss the implications of these findings for previous, mixed findings in the literature and for the relation between conspiracy thinking and other cognitive processes.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1002/ejsp.2507pt_PT
dc.identifier.eid85052401877
dc.identifier.issn0046-2772
dc.identifier.pmid30555189
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/32617
dc.identifier.wos000450103900006
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectCausalitypt_PT
dc.subjectConspiracy beliefpt_PT
dc.subjectPattern perceptionpt_PT
dc.subjectSpurious correlationpt_PT
dc.titleSuspicious binds: conspiracy thinking and tenuous perceptions of causal connections between co-occurring and spuriously correlated eventspt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage989pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue7pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage970pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleEuropean Journal of Social Psychologypt_PT
oaire.citation.volume48pt_PT
person.familyNameSutton
person.familyNameLange
person.familyNameBraga
person.givenNameRobbie
person.givenNameJens
person.givenNameJoão
person.identifier.ciencia-idD51C-25CC-8C4C
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-1542-1716
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-5375-3247
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-8195-4428
person.identifier.scopus-author-id9840578800
person.identifier.scopus-author-id56180231400
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57197750595
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoverye4bd4b19-c7c5-413e-84ca-39d3dcb0516e

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