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Population at risk of dengue virus transmission has increased due to coupled climate factors and population growth

dc.contributor.authorNakase, Taishi
dc.contributor.authorGiovanetti, Marta
dc.contributor.authorObolski, Uri
dc.contributor.authorLourenco, Jose
dc.date.accessioned2024-09-18T15:41:05Z
dc.date.available2024-09-18T15:41:05Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractDengue virus transmission has increased over the last four decades seemingly due to changes in climate, urbanization and population growth. Using estimates of dengue transmission suitability based on historical temperature and humidity data, we examined how shifts in these climatic variables and human population growth have contributed to the change in the geographical distribution and size of the global population living in areas with high climate suitability from 1979 to 2022. We found an expansion in climate suitability in North America, East Asia and the Mediterranean basin, where with few exceptions, endemicity is not yet established. Globally, we estimated that the population in areas with high climate suitability has grown by approximately 2.5 billion. In the Global South, this increase was largely driven by population growth in areas with historically favorable climate suitability, while in the Global North this increase predominantly occurred in previously unfavorable areas with limited population growth.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s43247-024-01639-6pt_PT
dc.identifier.eid85202724415
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/46598
dc.identifier.wos001303600700004
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/pt_PT
dc.titlePopulation at risk of dengue virus transmission has increased due to coupled climate factors and population growthpt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.issue1pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleCommunications Earth and Environmentpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume5pt_PT
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT

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