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Sovereign CDS contagion in the European Union: a multivariate GARCH-in-variables analysis of volatility spill-overs

dc.contributor.authorOliveira, Maria Alberta
dc.contributor.authorSantos, Carlos
dc.date.accessioned2016-12-21T17:34:58Z
dc.date.available2016-12-21T17:34:58Z
dc.date.issued2014
dc.description.abstractGARCH-with-variables model is used to assess volatility contagion in the Eurozone Debt Crisis. Credit Default Swaps on sovereign debt with 3 years maturity are used as a reference financial instrument, covering the sample period from 2008-2013. Daily data on Credit Default Swaps is used. We conclude that there is strong statistical evidence of volatility contagion in CDS spreads from the Eurozone periphery to its core. However, the direction of contagion is contingent on the periphery and core countries being assessed. As such, German 3 year CDS on sovereign debt mean equation is to vulnerable to Portuguese and to Greek CDS volatility, whilst German sovereign CDS volatility is vulnerable to greek one day lagged sovereign volatility. Differently, France’s sovereign debt Credit Default Swaps are only exposed to Spanish and Italian sovereign CDS in the mean equation. Exposure to greek lagged one day volatility exists as well.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationOLIVEIRA, Maria Alberta; SANTOS, Carlos - Sovereign CDS Contagion in the European Union: A Multivariate GARCH-in-Variables Analysis of Volatility Spill-Overs. In 27th International Business Research Conference, Toronto, Canada, 12 - 13 June, 2014. – In Proceedings of 27th International Business Research Conference. Toronto: Ryerson University, 2014. ISBN 978-1-922069-53-5. 6 p.pt_PT
dc.identifier.isbn9781922069535
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/21140
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectEurozone debt crisispt_PT
dc.subjectContagionpt_PT
dc.subjectGARCHpt_PT
dc.subjectVolatilitypt_PT
dc.subjectCredit Default Swapspt_PT
dc.titleSovereign CDS contagion in the European Union: a multivariate GARCH-in-variables analysis of volatility spill-overspt_PT
dc.typeconference object
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/5876/PEst-OE%2FEGE%2FUI0731%2F2014/PT
oaire.fundingStream5876
person.familyNameOliveira
person.givenNameMaria Alberta
person.identifier.ciencia-id691E-C5C6-E471
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2918-1354
person.identifier.scopus-author-id8636090500
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeconferenceObjectpt_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication82201628-8131-475d-a130-274ca446cc17
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery82201628-8131-475d-a130-274ca446cc17
relation.isProjectOfPublication71738399-b932-48c7-9feb-a7914ed88939
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscovery71738399-b932-48c7-9feb-a7914ed88939

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